Purdue has the worst rushing offense in the Big Ten and could be without two of its top receivers on Saturday against Illinois. (Photo by Matthew Visinsky/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) (Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) Illinois at Purdue SMU is a 9.5-point underdog on the road against TCU on Saturday. Three of those wins came when the Mustangs were an underdog of more than a touchdown. Under Sonny Dykes, SMU is 8-5 as an underdog with five outright wins. In its last 30 games as a home favorite, TCU is just 9-20-1 ATS. I still think this is too many points for a TCU program that has routinely failed to cover the spread as a home favorite. TCU has a stud at running back in Zach Evans and has had two weeks to prepare for SMU’s offense. I expect the Mustangs to be much more focused against an in-state rival. Yes, I know SMU needed a last-second touchdown pass to beat Louisiana Tech last weekend when it was an 11-point favorite. SMU has the offensive talent to play a close game with TCU, a team that allowed Cal to put up 8.2 yards per play a few weeks ago. Time: Noon | TV: FS1 | Line: TCU -9.5 | Total: 65.5 I expect Wisconsin to try to bully its way down the field with long drives. The Badgers have 113 rushing attempts and QB Graham Mertz looked shaky against Penn State. UW has just three plays of 20-plus yards in its two games this season. The lack of explosive playmakers extends beyond running back, too.

The Badgers, though, don’t have the game-breaking backs they have had in years past like Jonathan Taylor and Melvin Gordon. Notre Dame’s rush defense has not been good and the run game is the strength of the Wisconsin offense.

This point spread feels a little too big, but some of my concerns about Notre Dame are pushing me away from taking the underdog here. Time: Noon | TV: Fox | Line: Wisconsin -6.5 | Total: 46.5 (Note: All times ET, odds from BetMGM ) No. Looking ahead to Week 4, there are a lot of really interesting matchups on the board at BetMGM.

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